Braves Predicted Mediocre By Oddsmaker

Tim Hudson Atlanta BravesThe Atlanta Braves are headed towards mediocrity this season, according to sports book, Bovada.  Atlanta is picked as the team with the eleventh best chance to win the World Series at 20/1 odds.

What is Bovada seeing that Braves fans and media are not?  The Braves won the NL East last year and return what appears to be a stronger team. 

The Nationals are the favorites to win the NL East, we all expected that.  But the Braves are predicted to have a lesser chance than the San Francisco Giants to win the World Series.  Gee, I didn’t realize that Tim Hudson being added to their rotation was that big a deal, did you?

I guess I am crazy, but the Braves are a top 5 or 6 team in my opinion.  What are your thoughts on this?

Odds to win the 2014 World Series

Los Angeles Dodgers 13/2
St. Louis Cardinals 8/1
Detroit Tigers 9/1
Boston Red Sox 12/1
Tampa Bay Rays 12/1
Washington Nationals 12/1
New York Yankees 14/1
San Francisco Giants 16/1
Texas Rangers 16/1
Oakland Athletics 18/1
Atlanta Braves 20/1
Los Angeles Angels 20/1
Cincinnati Reds 22/1
Pittsburgh Pirates 28/1
Seattle Mariners 28/1
Baltimore Orioles 33/1
Kansas City Royals 33/1
Philadelphia Phillies 33/1
Toronto Blue Jays 33/1
Cleveland Indians 40/1
Arizona Diamondbacks 50/1
Chicago White Sox 50/1
San Diego Padres 50/1
Chicago Cubs 66/1
Milwaukee Brewers 66/1
Colorado Rockies 75/1
New York Mets 75/1
Miami Marlins 100/1
Minnesota Twins 100/1
Houston Astros 200/1

Odds to win the 2014 AL Pennant

Detroit Tigers 17/4

Boston Red Sox 6/1

Tampa Bay Rays 6/1

New York Yankees 13/2

Texas Rangers 8/1

Oakland Athletics 9/1

Los Angeles Angels 11/1

Seattle Mariners 14/1

Baltimore Orioles 16/1

Kansas City Royals 16/1

Toronto Blue Jays 16/1

Cleveland Indians 20/1

Chicago White Sox 25/1

Minnesota Twins 50/1

Houston Astros 100/1

 

Odds to win the 2014 NL Pennant

Los Angeles Dodgers 11/4

St. Louis Cardinals 19/4

Washington Nationals 11/2

San Francisco Giants 15/2

Atlanta Braves 9/1

Cincinnati Reds 10/1

Pittsburgh Pirates 14/1

Philadelphia Phillies 16/1

Arizona Diamondbacks 22/1

San Diego Padres 25/1

Chicago Cubs 28/1

Milwaukee Brewers 28/1

New York Mets 33/1

Colorado Rockies 40/1

Miami Marlins 50/1

 

Odds to win the 2014 AL EAST

New York Yankees 12/5

Boston Red Sox 11/5

Tampa Bay Rays 11/5

Toronto Blue Jays 7/1

Baltimore Orioles 7/1

 

Odds to win the 2014 AL CENTRAL

Detroit Tigers 4/9

Kansas City Royals 4/1

Cleveland Indians 7/1

Chicago White Sox 8/1

Minnesota Twins 33/1

 

Odds to win the 2014 AL WEST

Texas Rangers 7/4

Oakland Athletics 2/1

Los Angeles Angels 9/4

Seattle Mariners 7/1

Houston Astros 50/1

 

Odds to win the 2014 NL EAST

Washington Nationals 1/1

Atlanta Braves 5/4

Philadelphia Phillies 15/2

New York Mets 18/1

Miami Marlins 25/1

 

Odds to win the 2014 NL CENTRAL

St. Louis Cardinals 4/7

Cincinnati Reds 15/4

Pittsburgh Pirates 15/4

Milwaukee Brewers 14/1

Chicago Cubs 25/1

 

Odds to win the 2014 NL WEST

Los Angeles Dodgers 1/2

San Francisco Giants 13/4

Arizona Diamondbacks 8/1

San Diego Padres 10/1

Colorado Rockies 16/1

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Profile photo of Jim Hart About Jim Hart

Jim has covered the Atlanta Braves since 2008 for local and national broadcast news organizations. He also appears regularly talking Braves baseball on WCCP-FM in Clemson, South Carolina, and the ESPN Radio affiliate, 1420 Sports in St. Augustine, Florida.

  • NorthAlabamaGM

    Jim, and I thought I wore blinders! 11th out of 30 is not necessarily mediocre … but analyzing “their” numbers your analysis is proabably right. What these numbers tell me is that the Braves are a NL Wildcard team and they think two AL teams that don’t make the playoffs are better than or equal to them (Oak and LAA). I hope Boston and NYY fall on their faces:)
    Still too many unknowns this year for the odds makers to rank the Braves much higher (even though I am excited about the team) … Beachy (better outing today), Uggla, BJ, and Gattis are still question marks. If these guys perform, then yes, they should be ranked several spots higher.

    • http://atlantabullpen.com/ Jim Hart

      NorthAlabama, 11th out of 30 is mediocre enough to curdle my buttermilk. I think there is less unknowns this year than last year. The roster is basically set, just a couple bench positions and 5th starter to sort out. I think we have as much young, established talent as anyone in the major leagues.

  • Wayne Canon

    The ‘experts’ have me confused also.
    Most predict the Braves to finish behind the Nats with about 85 wins and fighting for the wild card slot.
    I certainly don’t see them doing any worse than last year with 96 wins, but I do expect the Nats to improve some, but not that much. It will be a good NL East race, but I expect the Brave to win.
    For fun and giggles, I go back and see what these ‘experts’ predicted for the 2013 season. Most predicted the Nats to win the NL East going away.
    There ought to be a stat something like PPCT (Past Predictions Came True) and express it as a percentage in their by line Like:
    by Joe Blow, Mudville beat reporter (.675 PPCT)

    • http://atlantabullpen.com/ Jim Hart

      Ha! Like your idea to have the PPCT in the reporter’s byline! In predictions you can never account for injuries. The Nationals had more than their fair share last season. I predict the Braves to win 97 games this season. I think the NL, particularly the NL East is better this season.